When wrong predictions provide more support than right ones

When wrong predictions provide more support than right ones.

Correct predictions of rare events are normatively more supportive of a theory or hypothesis than correct predictions of common ones. In other words, correct bold predictions provide more support than do correct timid predictions. Are lay hypothesis testers sensitive to the boldness of predictions? Results reported here show that participants were very sensitive to boldness, often finding incor...

Wrong surgery more common than thought.

Getting it right when things go wrong.

When doing the wrong thing is right

 3つの異なる練習方法でダンスの学習効果を検証した.  marking練習は full-out練習よりも学習効果がある.  markingと full-outと共にmental simulation練習よりも学習効果がある.

When Younger Learners Can Be Better (or at Least More Open- Minded) Than Older Ones

We describe a surprising developmental pattern across three different kinds of problems and age ranges. Younger learners are better than older ones at learning unusual abstract causal principles from evidence. We explore two factors that might contributecausal principles from evidence. We explore two factors that might contribute to this counter-­...